Thursday, January 31, 2008

The day's market - January 31, 2008

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (DJIA) summary
Index Value: 12,442.83
Trade Time: Jan 30
Change: Down 37.47 (-0.30%)
Prev Close: 12,480.30
Open: 12,480.14
Day's Range: 12406.17 - 12681.41

After trading relatively weak for most of the session, the DJIA spiked up when the Federal Reserve Board cut interest rates by an additional 50 basis points to bring it down to 3.0%. It went straight up to advance by around 200 points at one point.
But as the S&P 500 touched a resistance level and news of downgrades on Bond Insurers came out; the US equities market gave back its gains. It once again fell below the 12,500 level and even closed lower.

PLDT (TEL) was up by an additional $1.22 to close at $74.20. Converting at PhP 40.50 to the dollar; it comes to around PhP 3005. It closed yesterday at PhP 2910.

time------------change----------PSEi
9:31----------down 1.94---------3254.59

Advancers 5 Decliners 12

9:32-----------up 2.16
9;33-------------13.04
9:34-------------14.60----------3271.13 (day's high)

TEL trades at PhP 3000.
Advancers 7 Decliners 14

9:35-------------8.31
9:36-------------4.89
9:37-------------3.27-----------3259.80

The markets now heads lower.

9:38--------down 2.83
9:39-------------4.83
9:42-------------6.94----------3249.59

The 3250 level is tested again today.

9:43--------down 4.79
9:44-------------5.03
9:45------------12.56----------3243.97

TEL down to PhP 2955.
Advancers 9 Decliners 36

9:47-------down 13.64
9:48-------------8.72
9:49------------11.54
9:50------------14.70
9:51------------15.31
9:54------------16.76
9:56------------18.52
9:59------------19.14
10:00-----------21.24

TEL at PhP 2940.
Advancers 12 Decliners 52

10:01------down 21.78-----------3234.75 (day's low)
10:02-----------18.67
10:04-----------19.15
10:06-----------19.81
10:07-----------20.46
10:08-----------21.25-----------3235.28
10:09-----------18.27
10:11-----------19.30
10:13-----------16.50
10:14-----------14.94
10:15-----------13.79
10:18-----------12.71

TEL at PhP 2970
Advancers 12 Decliners 64

10:20------down 11.96
10:29-----------15.69
10:31-----------11.55
10:33-----------10.29-----------3246.24
10:37-----------13.31
10:39-----------15.40
10:47-----------16.42
10:52-----------14.23

Advancers 13 Decliners 83

10:54------down 12.08
10:56------------7.94
10:47------------7.26
10:59------------5.90-----------3250.63

The PSEi moves to hurdle and stay above the 3250 level once more.

11:02-------down 5.28
11:03------------2.64
11:05------------6.99-----------3249.54

Advancers 19 Decliners 81

11:09------down 4.59
11:16-----------6.05
11:18-----------3.41
11:19-----------0.75
11:21-----------0.45------------3256.08

The market now struggles to move into positive territory.

11:25--------up 0.14
11:29------down 3.98
11:30-----------5.47
11:32-----------1.76
11:36-----------0.33
11:37--------up 0.27
11:38------down 0.69
11:39--------up 0.74
11:42-----------1.70-------------3258.23

Advancers 19 Decliners 81

11:43------down 1.28
11;45--------up 1.91
11:46-----------2.88
11:48-----------1.78
11:50-----------1.60
11:57-----------4.14
11:58-----------7.90
11:59-----------4.50
12:01-----------9.47------------3266.00(+0.29%)
Market Close.

Advancers 27
Decliners 82

Value turnover: PhP 4.890 bn
Cross transactions: PhP 2.127 bn

PLDT (TEL) alone accounted for a gain of 29.54 points in the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi. If not for its gains; the market would have ended lower. The broader market shows a lot more of losers than gainers.
This shows that there is still a sense of great uncertainty in the volatility in WallStreet. This has overshadowed the anticipated Fed rate cut and the news that the Philippine 4th QTR GDP was up by 7.4%(the fastest quarterly pace of growth in 31 years. The much hoped month-end window dressing was also non-existent.

Sectoral Indices.
Services +2.67%
Industrial +1.08%
Property 0.00%
Holdings -0.67%
M-O -1.52%
Financial -4.24%

The Day's Top Gainers:
ABS: PhP 29.00; +13.73%
FDC: PhP 4.50; +11.11%
FEU: PhP 900.00; +8.43%

The Day's Biggest Decliners:
JOH: PhP 1.02; -27.14%
BPC: PhP 2.65; -8.62%
MBT: PhP 40.00; -8.05%

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

The day's market - January 30, 2008

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (DJIA) summary

Index Value: 12,480.30
Trade Time: Jan 29
Change: UP 96.41 (+0.78%)
Prev Close: 12,383.89
Open: 12,385.19
Day's Range: 12346.99 - 12503.15

The DJIA tests the 12500 level again. Investors and analyst expect a new interest rate cut after the FED meeting.

PLDT (TEL) ADRs (American Depository Receipts) closed higher by $3.00 to close at $72.98. Converting at PhP 40.58 to the US$; this is around PhP 2960. The company approved a buyback program of approximately 2 million shares comprising about 1.1% of the company's total outstanding common shares. Based on yesterday's closing price of PhP 2810, it would amount to about PhP 5.6 bn.

PSEi previous close - 3224.24 (January 29, 2008)

time------------up------------PSEi
9:31-----------58.41----------3282.65

TEL opened at PhP 2950.
Advancers 15 Decliner 1

9:32-----------59.07
9:33-----------61.10
9:34-----------67.51
9:35-----------68.94
9:36-----------70.17

PhP 40.586 vs US$ 1.00

9:37-----------73.88---------3298.12 (the day's high)

The 3300 level was tested and proves to be a resistance. The market retreats after a very steep rise in the first few minutes of trading.
Advancers 26 Decliners 6

9:39-----------71.59
9:45-----------70.19
9:46-----------67.76

9:47-----------72.12
9:48-----------68.85
9:49-----------65.35

Advancers 40 Decliners 12
TEL at PhP 2950.

9:51-----------68.40
9:53-----------64.62
9:57-----------62.22
10:00----------59.36

The number of decliners start to increase despite the day's advance.
Advancers 38 Decliners 17

10:01----------57.62
10:02----------56.18
10:03----------52.41
10:07----------51.76

PhP 40.585 vs US$ 1.00
TEL at PhP 2930.
Advancers 37 Decliners 26

10:08----------50.32
10:09----------47.61
10:10----------45.38---------3269.62

10:11----------44.84
10:13----------44.31
10:14----------42.75
10:15----------41.60
10:17----------41.20
10:18----------39.65---------3263.89

TEL at PhP 2910
Advancers 35 Decliners 33

10:21----------38.11
10:26----------37.31---------3261.55

TEL at PhP 2905
Advancers 33 Decliners 38. Losers now outnumber gainers.

10:29----------35.51
10:33----------35.48
10:38----------35.09
10:43----------34.53
10:44----------32.97
10:45----------32.09
10:49----------31.22
10:51----------30.70
10:56----------29.08
10:58----------28.66---------3252.90

The market tests and tries to hold at the 3250 level.
Advancers 33 Decliners 58.


10:59---------30.21
11:01---------35.74
11:08---------38.39

PhP 40.607 vs US$ 1.00

11:09---------39.42----------3264.96
11:10---------33.02
11:11---------32.20----------3256.44
11:15---------34.64
11:16---------36.53
11:18---------37.06
11:21---------38.21----------3262.45

TEL at PhP 2925

11:23---------37.87
11:24---------36.56
11:25---------35.89
11:28---------33.34
11:31---------33.10
11:32---------31.67
11:33---------31.02
11:35---------30.62----------3254.86

Advancers 30 Decliners 77
TEL at PhP 2915

11:39---------33.61
11:43---------30.49

PhP 40.613 vs US$ 1.00

11:44---------30.06
11:45---------27.10
11:46---------24.73----------3248.97

The 3250 level is tested once again in the final minutes of the trading session.
Advancers 32 Decliners 83
TEL at PhP 2910

11:48---------26.49----------3250.73
11:49---------28.38
11:53---------28.94
11:54---------26.35
11:55---------25.27
11:56---------22.04-----------3246.28
11:58---------26.11
11:59---------29.22
12:01---------32.29-----------3256.53 (+1.00%)
Market Close.

Advancers 37
Decliners 75

Value turnover: PhP 3.324 bn
Cross transactions: PhP 1.474 bn

Sectoral Indices.
Services +2.29%
Holdings +1.04%
Property +0.14%
Industrial -0.03%
Financial -0.54%
M-O -1.10%

The Day's Top Gainers:
LIHC: PhP 14.00; +19.15%
BRN: PhP 4.05; +14.08%
BC: PhP 28.50; +7.55%

The Day's Biggest Decliners:
LSC: PhP 1.28; -12.33%
MAB: PhP 0.022; -12.00%
ABS: PHP 25.50; -10.53%

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

The day's market - January 29, 2008

Comment on Yesterday's trading:
Manila Bulletin - January 29, 2008

BusinessWorld - January 29, 2008


DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (DJIA) summary
Index Value: 12,383.89
Trade Time: Jan 28
Change: Up 176.72 (+1.45%)
Prev Close: 12,207.17
Open: 12,205.71
Day's Range: 12112.14 - 12386.01

After a slow start, the DJIA recovered and advanced steadily. It firmed up its gains and closed near its high.

PLDT (TEL) ADRs were higher by $2.40 and closed at $69.98. Converting at PhP 40.71 vs the US$, it comes to around PhP 2850. Yesterday it closed at PhP 2775.

Gold was up by $16.60 to close at $925.30 - 925.80 an ounce.

The local equities market once again took its cue from WallStreet and rebounded from yesterday's decline.

PSEi previous close - 3203.56 (January 28, 2008)

time------------up-------------PSEi
9:31-----------19.97-----------3223.53

Advancers 27 Decliner 1
TEL opened at PhP 2800

9:32-----------29.40
9:33-----------31.12
9:34-----------35.86
9:35-----------35.93
9:36-----------38.57----------3242.13

Asian markets were up today.
PhP 40.717 vs US$ 1.00

9:41-----------38.95

Advancers 51 Decliners 4

9:42-----------41.13
9:43-----------43.68
9:44-----------46.57----------3250.13

The 3250 level resistance was tested ....and broken.

9:45-----------59.68

TEL at PhP 2850.

9;52-----------61.00
9:53-----------62.49
9:54-----------63.92---------3267.48 (day's high)

9:57-----------59.78
10:03----------56.67
10:05----------58.03
10:07----------55.63

PhP 40.716 vs US$ 1.00

10:10----------58.03
10:17----------59.29
10:23----------54.63
10:26----------51.89
10:28----------49.77
10:30----------44.74---------3248.30

The market moves below the 3250 level once again and gives back most of its gains.

10:30----------43.80
10:33----------40.69
10:34----------39.30
10:35----------38.89
10:39----------37.64
10:41----------37.18
10:43----------35.42
10:46----------34.53
10:51----------33.91
10:52----------32.87
10:53----------30.23
10:54----------29.93
10:55----------28.68
10:57----------26.96
10:59----------25.39
11:01----------24.79---------3228.35
11:03----------27.35

Advancers 54 Decliners 32
TEL back at PhP 2805

11:08----------25.94
11:18----------25.13
11:21----------23.24
11:28----------25.59
11:28----------24.97

11:29----------18.82
11:31----------18.15
11:40----------17.58-----------3221.14

11;41----------19.98
11:42----------20.28

11;43----------15.18
11:44----------14.29
11:45----------13.49-----------3217.05

11:47----------16.28
11:50----------14.28
11:51----------13.75
11:53----------13.40-----------3216.96
11:54----------15.74
11:55----------14.60
11:56----------17.58
11:57----------18.10
11:58----------18.63
11:59----------19.10
12:01----------20.68-----------3224.24 (+0.65%)
Market close.

Advancers 46
Decliners 55

A new chart gap at the 3212-3216 levels was opened today. The PSEi is now above the 10 day moving average. If the 3170-3200 level holds and proves to be a strong support, the 3350-3400 level will be a likely target. The 3250-3270 is the immediate resistance.

Sectoral Indices
Financial +1.46%
Holdings +1.32%
Services +0.66%
M-O +0.47%
Industrial +0.15%
Property -0.88%

The Day's Top Gainers:
MUSX: PhP 0.29; +52.63%
EIBA: PhP 0.35; +16.67%
ATN: PhP 2.24; +9.80%

***MUSX recently underwent a quasi-reorganization. Its par value was reduced to PhP 0.10 from PhP 1.00. Correspondingly, the number of shares held by investors was increased by a multiple of 7.
From a last trade of PhP 1.94 before it went on a voluntary suspension of trading in its shares; the previous close was adjusted to PhP 0.19 (decreased by ten times just like the reduction in its par value.) But since the number of shares was increase by only a multiple of 7, the "break-even" point is at PhP 0.277


The Day's Biggest Decliners:
BCB: PhP 30.00; -20.00%
FED: PhP 7.20; -20.00%
JTH: PhP 2.30; -14.81%

Monday, January 28, 2008

The day's market - January 28, 2008

Market comments last Friday
BusinessWorld - January 28, 2008


With the drop in WallStreet on Friday, the local equities market underwent a correction after its advances the past three trading day's last week.

PSEi previous close - 3237.41 (January 25, 2008)

time--------------down-----------PSEi
9:31-------------24.67----------3212.74

Advancers 7 Decliners 26

9:32-------------25.07
9:33-------------25.52
9:34-------------26.05
9:34-------------29.10
9:35-------------31.54-----------3205.87

PhP 40.864 vs US$ 1.00

9:38-------------32.85
9:39-------------33.89
9:40-------------36.02-----------3201.39
9:41-------------37.49-----------3199.92

Advancers 9 decliners 35
The 3200 level was broken and the market continues to head lower.

9:42-------------40.13
9:43-------------41.89
9:46-------------48.69
9:48-------------49.03
9:49-------------51.82
9:50-------------52.50
9:51-------------53.98
9:52-------------54.04
9:53-------------55.60---------3181.81

Advancers 16 Decliners 46
PLDT (TEL) trading at PhP 2760 from a previous close of PhP 2800.

9:54-------------58.65
9:55-------------59.61
9:59-------------60.09
10:00------------61.52
10:02------------62.05
10:04------------62.15
10:05------------63.77
10:13------------64.30----------3173.11 (day's low)

Advancers 10 Decliners 59
PhP 40.856 vs US$ 1.00
The chart gap opened last week (January 24-25, 2008) at the 3170 level was almost closed and served as a support.

10:21------------62.65
10:23------------61.34
10:25------------59.71
10:34------------57.22-----------3180.19

The PSEi goes above the 3180 level.

10:35------------56.07
10:36------------55.40
10:38------------52.37------------3185.04

PhP 40.884 vs US$ 1.00

10:43------------54.14
10:47------------54.93
10:49------------55.73
10:57------------57.64------------3179.77

The market tests the 3180 level again and manages to hold above it. It limits its losses in the final hour of the trading day.

10:58------------53.92
11:01------------51.24
11:02------------50.97
11:04------------48.84

11:05------------52.98
11:15------------53.61------------3183.80

PhP 40.887 vs US$ 1.00

11:22------------52.74
11:25------------51.56
11:26------------50.51
11:28------------46.72
11:31------------45.58
11:35------------43.16
11:37------------44.28
11:42------------44.95

PhP 40.887 vs US$ 1.00

11:44------------38.65-----------3198.76

The 3200 level is tested.

11:45------------39.25
11:48------------43.67
11:52------------44.25-----------3193.16
11:56------------42.38
11:57------------41.12
11:58------------43.67
11:59------------33.45
12:01------------33.85-----------3203.56 (-1.05%)
Market Close.

Advancers 20
Decliners 77

Value turnover: PhP 2.390 bn
Cross transactions: PhP 1.110 bn

Sectoral Indices retreated across-the-board.
Holdings -2.08%
Industrial -1.16%
Financial -0.94%
Services -0.91%
M-O -0.88%
Property -0.37%

The Day's Top Gainers:
VITA: PhP 0.35; +25.00%
ETEL: PhP 330.00; +10.00%
BCP: phP 96.50; +9.66%

The Day's Biggest Decliners:
PNC: PhP 3.90; -25.00%
JTH: PhP 2.70; -22.86%
ABA: PhP 0.0085; -10.53%

The day's market - January 2, 2008

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Trading in WallStreet - January 25,2008

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE(DJIA) summary
Index Value: 12,207.17
Trade Time: Jan 25
Change: Down 171.44 (-1.38%)
Prev Close: 12,378.61
Open: 12,391.70
Day's Range: 12183.68 - 12486.89

Trading volatility continues in WallStreet. The day's trading range was more than 300 points. The DJIA tried to challenge the 12500 level early on but its rally lost steam. It then declined for most of the trading session to close near its day's low.

Friday, January 25, 2008

The day's market - January 25, 2008

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (DJIA) summary
Index Value: 12,378.61
Trade Time: Jan 24
Change: Up 108.44 (+0.88%)
Prev Close: 12,270.17
Open: 12,272.69
Day's Range: 12241.80 - 12399.18

WallStreet was able to maintain consolidate its gains. It advanced further and managed to close near it high. PLDT (TEL) ADRs traded higher by $4.10 and closed at $67.11. Converting at a rate of PhP 41.00 to the US$; it comes out to PhP 2750. TEL closed at PhP 2670 yesterday.

Gold was up by $28.70 to trade at $908.40-$908.90

PSEi previous close - 3147.42 (January 24, 2008)

time-------------up------------PSEi
9:31------------56.92---------3204.34

Another gap was opened with the immediate jump in the local equities market. It broke the 3200 level at once.
TEL opened at PhP 2800.
Advancers 37 Decliner 1

9:32------------57.50
9:33------------59.44
9:34------------61.88
9:35------------62.72
9:36------------63.01----------3210.43

PhP 41.016 vs US$ 1.00

9:37------------69.49
9:38------------77.04
9:41------------77.27
9:42------------77.94----------3225.36

Advancers 56 Decliners 6

9:43------------80.23
9:44------------82.23
9:46------------86.15
9:48------------87.56
9:50------------88.22
9:55------------89.93----------3237.35

A minor correction ensues.

9:57------------89.56
10:02-----------87.85
10:05-----------85.38
10:06-----------84.03

PhP 41.008 vs US$ 1.00

10:07-----------82.47
10:13-----------80.54
10:15-----------77.02
10:23-----------76.55
10:25-----------75.89
10:26-----------74.80----------3222.22

The PSEi firms up again and consolidates its gains.

10:29-----------76.58
10:31-----------77.58
10:35-----------78.12
10:40-----------78.99

PhP 41.005 vs US$ 1.00
Asian markets were up at this point.

10:52----------80.14
10:59----------81.52
11:00----------82.41
11:01----------83.96
11:02----------88.62
11:03----------92.76-----------3240.18
11:06----------87.53

PhP 41.001 vs US$ 1.00

11:07----------85.58
11:12----------87.78
11:13----------84.71
11:15----------83.46
11:19----------88.06
11:22----------90.33
11:23----------92.93
11:29----------94.81
11:30----------95.18-----------3242.60
11:37----------91.77
11:39----------88.28
11:44----------92.39
11:45----------93.41
11:50----------90.78
11:53----------89.47
11:55----------90.96
11:56----------91.85
11:57----------92.39
11:58----------90.84
11:59----------96.18-----------3243.60 (day's high)
12:01----------89.99-----------3237.41 (+2.86%)
Market Close.

Advancers 79
Decliners 30

Value turnover: PhP 4.050 bn
Cross transactions: PhP 1.128 bn

The PSEi reached the upper limit of the target resistance at the 3239 level and is also now at the 10 day moving average.

Sectoral Indices again advanced across-the-aboard.
Services +4.72%
Holdings +2.21%
Industrial +1.97%
Financial +1.67%
M-O +1.39%
Property +0.87%

The Day's Top Gainers:
PNC: PhP 5.20; +42.47%
BCP: PhP 88.00; +27.54%
BCB: PhP 38.00; +24.59%
BC: PhP 30.50; +22.00%
KEP: PhP 2.10; +16.67%

The Day's Biggest Decliners:
CEU: PhP 6.00; -40.00%
PAX: PhP 3.80; -24.00%
LAND: PhP 1.60; -20.00%
VITA: PhP 0.28; -17.65%
EIBA: PhP 0.30; -14.29%